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Atlanta United
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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 at 4.07am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
FC Dallas

Austin
3 - 0
Dallas

Finlay (17'), Fagundez (42'), Zardes (58')
Wolff (26'), Finlay (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Quignon (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 4-1 Austin
Sunday, June 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Austin vs. Houston
Sunday, June 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-0 Dallas
Monday, June 12 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Dallas vs. Los Angeles
Sunday, July 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawDallas
54.8% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 24.29% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 20.9% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (0.13 0.13)51.83% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (0.113 0.11)73.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.82% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (0.021999999999998 0.02)50.25% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (0.175 0.17)39.46% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (0.163 0.16)76.15% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 54.79%
    Dallas 20.9%
    Draw 24.29%
Austin FCDrawDallas
1-0 @ 12.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.77% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 54.79%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.9%

How you voted: Austin vs Dallas

Austin FC
Draw
Dallas
Austin FC
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Dallas
14.3%
14
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Oct 24, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Austin
2-1
Dallas
Jul 17, 2022 2am
Jun 26, 2022 2am
Oct 31, 2021 1am
Gameweek 43
Dallas
2-1
Austin
Twumasi (23'), Cerrillo (48')
Romana (14'), Stuver (72'), Fagundez (83')
Jimenez (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000


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