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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Austin FC

Houston
2 - 1
Austin

Herrera (37'), Franco (87')
Quinones (67'), Micael (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zardes (22')
Cascante (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Houston
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Austin FC

All competitions
Last Game: Austin 1-0 Toronto
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Austin FC

 Houston will be high on confidence after their Open Cup victory in the week, especially when considering Baird managed to score a hat-trick - something that could help take the goalscoring burden off Bassi. Austin will be desperate to get back to winning ways after being knocked out of the cup in midweek, but we envisage a tricky Saturday at Shell Energy Stadium for the Verde and Black.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
47.91%25.18%26.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 52.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50%50%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02%71.98% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11%20.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.4%53.6% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.6%
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 47.9%
    Austin FC 26.91%
    Draw 25.17%
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.46%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 4.24%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 26.91%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Houston
2-0
Austin
Bassi (71' pen.), Herrera (86')
Franco (59'), Carrasquilla (78')

Vaisanen (19'), Fagundez (52'), Lundqvist (70')
Jul 13, 2022 2am
Austin
3-1
Houston
Fagundez (15'), Urruti (57'), Ring (70')
Lima (66')
Carrasquilla (11')
Hadebe (14'), Lundqvist (62'), Herrera (80')
Apr 30, 2022 6.30pm
Houston
1-2
Austin
Ferreira (5')
Carrasquilla (47'), Hadebe (50'), Parker (88')
Pereira (39'), Driussi (66')
Driussi (36'), Ring (62'), Felipe (90+6')
Oct 24, 2021 10pm
gameweek 42
Austin
2-1
Houston
Maric (7' og.), Driussi (45+4')
Pereira (38'), Driussi (47'), Kolmanic (54')
Cascante (90+2' og.)
Ceren (11'), Vera (74')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 30
Houston
3-0
Austin
Dorsey (1'), Picault (24', 64')
Picault (39'), Lundqvist (52')

Pochettino (22'), Ring (44'), Berhalter (51')
rhs 2.0
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