Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 Real Salt Lake
Houston have hit their stride over the past month and will be confident of beating a Salt Lake side who have lost three of their four away matches so far.
Real Salt Lake have corrected their early-season wobble, but we do not envisage them getting anything out of a trip to Shell Energy Stadium this weekend.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.16% . A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.64%) . The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood .
Result Houston Dynamo Draw Real Salt Lake 50.16% ( 0.04) 24.37% ( 0) 25.46% ( -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.25% ( -0.05)
52.27% ( -0.04) 47.73% ( 0.05)
30.08% ( -0.04) 69.92% ( 0.04)
80.95% 19.06% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.36% ( 0) 50.64% ( 0)
67.03% ( -0.06) 32.98% ( 0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.44% ( -0.06) 69.56% ( 0.07)
Houston Dynamo 50.16%
Real Salt Lake 25.46%
Draw 24.37%
Houston Dynamo Draw Real Salt Lake 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.16% 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.37% 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.46%
How you voted: Houston vs Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
Draw
Real Salt Lake
7
rhs 2.0
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