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Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2022 at 2am UK
Austin FC Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Austin
3 - 1
Houston

Fagundez (15'), Urruti (57'), Ring (70')
Lima (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carrasquilla (11')
Hadebe (14'), Lundqvist (62'), Herrera (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlanta 0-3 Austin
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Houston 2-2 Dallas
Sunday, July 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Houston Dynamo

 Austin have a 100% record at home against the Dynamo, and although that is only in two games, the way Austin are playing at the moment, it is hard to imagine that the presence of Hector Herrera alone will be enough to slow down the Verde and Black, who have scored 19 goals in eight home matches this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
58.44% (1.34 1.34) 21.42% (-0.491 -0.49) 20.14% (-0.851 -0.85)
Both teams to score 57.19% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.43% (1.062 1.06)40.57% (-1.064 -1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.05% (1.082 1.08)62.95% (-1.082 -1.08)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (0.76600000000001 0.77)13.61% (-0.766 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.24% (1.507 1.51)40.76% (-1.508 -1.51)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (-0.221 -0.22)33.79% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54% (-0.238 -0.24)70.45% (0.23700000000001 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 58.44%
    Houston Dynamo 20.14%
    Draw 21.42%
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.211 0.21)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.183 0.18)
4-0 @ 3.03% (0.186 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.089 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.107 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 58.44%
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 20.14%

How you voted: Austin vs Houston

Austin FC
80.0%
Draw
10.9%
Houston Dynamo
9.1%
55
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 6.30pm
Houston
1-2
Austin
Ferreira (5')
Carrasquilla (47'), Hadebe (50'), Parker (88')
Pereira (39'), Driussi (66')
Driussi (36'), Ring (62'), Felipe (90+6')
Oct 24, 2021 10pm
Austin
2-1
Houston
Maric (7' og.), Driussi (45+4')
Pereira (38'), Driussi (47'), Kolmanic (54')
Cascante (90+2' og.)
Ceren (11'), Vera (74')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30am
Houston
3-0
Austin
Dorsey (1'), Picault (24', 64')
Picault (39'), Lundqvist (52')

Pochettino (22'), Ring (44'), Berhalter (51')
Aug 5, 2021 2am
Austin
3-2
Houston
Pochettino (7', 45+1'), Dominguez (56')
Stroud (83')
Pasher (27'), Picault (86')
Dorsey (79')
Ceren (20')
rhs 2.0
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