Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 17 | 39 |
2 | Austin FC | 19 | 16 | 37 |
3 | Real Salt Lake | 19 | 0 | 30 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | New England Revolution | 19 | -1 | 25 |
6 | Houston Dynamo | 19 | -1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 19 | -10 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
58.44% ( 1.34) | 21.42% ( -0.49) | 20.14% ( -0.85) |
Both teams to score 57.19% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.43% ( 1.06) | 40.57% ( -1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.05% ( 1.08) | 62.95% ( -1.08) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.38% ( 0.77) | 13.61% ( -0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.24% ( 1.51) | 40.76% ( -1.51) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.2% ( -0.22) | 33.79% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.54% ( -0.24) | 70.45% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.19) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.32% Total : 58.44% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.16% Total : 20.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |