Major League Soccer

Jun 26, 2022 at 1am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
2 - 0
Chicago Fire

Ulfarsson (23'), Quintero (45+2')
Rodriguez (41'), Steres (64'), Ceren (79'), Parker (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Navarro (38'), Espinoza (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Toronto	15	-8	15
9	Chicago Fire	15	-6	14
10	DC United	14	-8	14

We said: Houston Dynamo 0-1 Chicago Fire

The Fire are a long way off the playoff picture right now, but they are showing some fight while working collectively hard to improve, and the same cannot always be said about the Dynamo of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Chicago Fire
42.94% ( 0.28)	25.8% ( -0.13)	31.26% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 53.68% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.65% (

0.47)

50.35% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.71% (

0.41)

72.29% (

-0.41)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

0.34)

23.31% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.74% (

0.49)

57.26% (

-0.49)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

0.13)

30.01% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87% (

0.15)

66.13% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 42.93%

Chicago Fire 31.26%

Draw 25.8%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.93%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.26%