Major League Soccer

May 22, 2022 at 10pm UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sekulic (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

Last Six:

Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Next Game: Chicago Fire vs. DC United
Sunday, June 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	DC United	13	-7	14
9	Sporting Kansas City	15	-9	13
10	Chicago Fire	14	-7	11

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Chicago Fire

Even without last season's Golden Boot winner, we expect to see a relatively comfortable victory for the Pigeons on Sunday as they possess as much depth as any team in MLS, while the Fire have had some miserable defensive displays in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
76.32% ( -0.06)	14.65% ( 0.04)	9.02% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.99% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.41% (

-0.17)

33.58% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.6% (

-0.19)

55.39% (

0.18)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.73% (

-0.06)

7.26% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.68% (

-0.13)

26.31% (

0.12)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.98% (

-0.1)

45.01% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.05% (

-0.08)

80.94% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 76.32%

Chicago Fire 9.02%

Draw 14.65%

New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 76.32%	1-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.95% Total : 14.65%	1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 9.02%