Major League Soccer

Jul 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
1 - 2
Charlotte FC

Picault (81')
Ceren (56'), (67'), Steres (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vera (28' og.), Shinyashiki (74')
Ruiz (66'), Shinyashiki (85'), Gaines (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

Last Six:

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Austin
Friday, July 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings

PTS

Goals
for

Goals
against

Clean
sheets

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Charlotte FC

Given the unpredictable form of the two sides, Monday's game is difficult to predict, but we see the most likely outcome as a share of the spoils. Both are struggling to put victories on the board and we see them cancelling out each other's efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Charlotte FC
50.23% ( 0.16)	25.46% ( -0.02)	24.31% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.92% (

-0.07)

53.08% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.34% (

-0.06)

74.66% (

0.06)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.85% (

0.04)

21.15% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.99% (

0.06)

54.01% (

-0.07)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.12% (

-0.18)

36.88% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.33% (

-0.18)

73.66% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 50.22%

Charlotte FC 24.31%

Draw 25.45%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Charlotte FC
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 50.22%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 24.31%