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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Houston Dynamo

Portland
2 - 1
Houston

Moreno (34' pen., 36')
Blanco (17'), Zuparic (27'), Moreno (42'), Tuiloma (54'), Williamson (72')
Tuiloma (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Quintero (65')
Rodriguez (21'), Zeca (34'), Hadebe (44'), Vera (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Although Portland are currently two points adrift of their opponents in the Western Conference, they usually fare well in home meetings with Houston, and we think that they will edge out the visitors to claim consecutive victories for the first time this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
60.88% (-0.219 -0.22) 21.38% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 17.74% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)44.13% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49% (-0.067 -0.07)66.51% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)14.02% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.43% (-0.177 -0.18)41.57% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.55% (0.133 0.13)38.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.8% (0.126 0.13)75.2% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 60.87%
    Houston Dynamo 17.74%
    Draw 21.38%
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-0 @ 10.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.87%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 17.74%

How you voted: Portland vs Houston

Portland Timbers
Draw
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Houston
0-0
Portland

Hadebe (27')
Hadebe (75')

Paredes (16'), Blanco (27'), Chara (49'), Tuiloma (81')
Sep 4, 2021 1am
Houston
0-2
Portland

Parker (50')
Chara (15'), Mora (20' pen.)
Bravo (51'), Zambrano (86'), Mabiala (90+2')
Jun 24, 2021 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Portland
Picault (15'), Pasher (33')
Picault (59')
Asprilla (50'), Ebobisse (90+1')
Bonilla (38'), Mabiala (72'), Blanco (73')
Apr 25, 2021 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Houston
Asprilla (6'), Paredes (73')
Asprilla (26'), Bravo (39')
Paredes (28' og.)
Valentin (36'), Urruti (37')
Jul 26, 2020 3.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew7430105515
2Inter MiamiInter Miami6420126614
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7412138513
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC7412127513
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati741299013
6Orlando City73221512311
7Chicago Fire73221412211
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls732297211
9Nashville SCNashville7313107310
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta72321112-19
11New York City FCNY City72231011-18
12DC United7133917-86
13New England RevolutionNew England611437-44
14Toronto7034713-63
15CF MontrealMontreal7025412-82

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7511125716
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7421117414
3Austin FCAustin741253213
4Portland TimbersPortland732298111
5Dallas73221010011
6Colorado RapidsColorado732289-111
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes73131510510
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles7304810-29
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake7304711-49
10St Louis City72234408
11Seattle SoundersSeattle7133811-36
12Houston DynamoHouston7124511-65
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas7115812-44
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy7025514-92
15San Diego FC00000000


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