Major League Soccer

May 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
1 - 0
Houston

Hlongwane (14')
Trapp (30'), Hlongwane (40'), Dotson (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Micael (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 3-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, May 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Minnesota United 0-0 Houston Dynamo

Minnesota have been leaking goals of late but now face a Houston side without their top-two attacking threats in the form of Bassi and Herrera. The visitors are likely to struggle to create many clear-cut chances at Allianz Field, although we believe they should be good enough for a point.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Houston Dynamo
55.22% ( -0.08)	23.3% ( 0.03)	21.48% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.99% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.86% (

-0.07)

47.14% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.63% (

-0.07)

69.38% (

0.07)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.07% (

-0.05)

16.93% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.01% (

-0.09)

46.99% (

0.1)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.78% (

36.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27% (

0.01)

73% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 55.22%

Houston Dynamo 21.48%

Draw 23.3%

Minnesota United	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 55.22%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 21.48%