Major League Soccer

May 1, 2023 at 2am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
0 - 0
Dallas

Sang-bin (31'), Fragapane (86')

Antonio Martinez (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Minnesota United 1-0 Dallas

Although the Loons are in a slump at the moment, they have not been playing as poorly as their recent track record might indicate, and we expect to see them bounce back on Sunday versus a side they have fared well against at home.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Dallas and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 50.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Dallas
50.54% ( 0.43)	24.83% ( -0.14)	24.64% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 52% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.7% (

0.34)

50.3% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

0.31)

72.25% (

-0.3)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09% (

0.31)

19.91% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.96% (

0.5)

52.05% (

-0.49)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.93% (

-0.05)

35.07% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.19% (

-0.05)

71.81% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 50.53%

Dallas 24.64%

Draw 24.82%

Minnesota United	Draw	Dallas
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.53%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.64%