Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Allianz Field
We said: Minnesota United 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
The Loons have done well despite missing their best player, but we believe they will have difficulty controlling this match with so many regulars unavailable due to the international window.
As for Vancouver, it could be the same old story, as they have looked solid through stretches of their games this season but have not proven they can find another gear and take control of a game when the opportunities arise.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 51.19% . A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.62%) . The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Minnesota United Draw Vancouver Whitecaps 51.19% ( 0.1) 23.9% ( -0.05) 24.91% ( -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.26% ( 0.13)
53.86% ( 0.18) 46.14% ( -0.18)
31.56% ( 0.17) 68.44% ( -0.17)
81.96% ( 0.11) 18.04% ( -0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.06% ( 0.18) 48.94% ( -0.18)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
67.42% ( 0.06) 32.58% ( -0.06)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.89% ( 0.07) 69.11% ( -0.07)
Minnesota United 51.19%
Vancouver Whitecaps 24.91%
Draw 23.89%
Minnesota United Draw Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.19% 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.89% 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.91%
How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Vancouver
Minnesota United
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps
5
rhs 2.0
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