Major League Soccer

Jun 4, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
1 - 2
Salt Lake

Cascante (90+2')
Rigoni (43'), Urruti (62'), Gallagher (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rubin (15', 81')
Davis (7'), Glad (34'), Loffelsend (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, June 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Real Salt Lake

Although Austin FC have shown signs of improvement recently, Real Salt Lake have been decent away from home in recent weeks, picking up five points from their last three games. As such, we expect Saturday's game to finish all-square, with Austin just about managing to keep their place in the MLS playoffs.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. Real Salt Lake and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
59.12% ( 0.24)	22.04% ( -0.06)	18.84% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 52.84% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.75% (

-0.04)

45.26% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4% (

-0.04)

67.6% (

0.04)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.05% (

0.07)

14.95% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.64% (

0.12)

43.36% (

-0.12)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.13% (

-0.23)

37.87% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.36% (

-0.22)

74.64% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 59.11%

Real Salt Lake 18.84%

Draw 22.03%

Austin FC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 59.11%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.03%	0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 18.84%