Major League Soccer

May 28, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
1 - 1
Salt Lake

Glad (31' og.)
Amarilla (4'), Taylor (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Savarino (28')
Glad (45+7'), Ojeda (59'), Rubin (71'), Mastroeni (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 2-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Real Salt Lake

Minnesota were dumped out of the Open Cup in midweek by Houston but were playing with 10 men for the majority of the contest - Heath's side will be desperate to respond with a league win on Saturday. Real Salt Lake's travels continue after successive wins at Colorado, and we believe the effects of their busy timetable will lead to a less-than-optimal performance in Saint Paul.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Real Salt Lake and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Real Salt Lake
53.81% ( -0.61)	23.09% ( 0.2)	23.1% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 55.82% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.59% (

-0.43)

44.41% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.21% (

-0.42)

66.79% (

0.43)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

-0.37)

16.45% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.87% (

-0.67)

46.13% (

0.68)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81% (

0.13)

33.19% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2% (

0.14)

69.8% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 53.81%

Real Salt Lake 23.1%

Draw 23.09%

Minnesota United	Draw	Real Salt Lake
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.81%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.1%