Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
Dallas2 - 0Houston
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Houston Dynamo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, April 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Austin
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
41.92% ( 0.2) | 25.97% ( 0.05) | 32.12% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.24% ( -0.27) | 50.76% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% ( -0.24) | 72.66% ( 0.24) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( -0.02) | 24% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.75% ( -0.03) | 58.25% ( 0.03) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.3) | 29.64% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.32% ( -0.37) | 65.68% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Dallas 41.92%
Houston Dynamo 32.12%
Draw 25.96%
| Dallas | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.12% |
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 1.30am
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Sep 19, 2021 2.30am
Gameweek 33
Houston
3-2
Dallas
