Major League Soccer

Apr 23, 2022 at 8pm UK

Pizza Hut Park

Dallas
2 - 1
Houston

Ntsabeleng (87'), Quignon (90+3')
Farfan (2'), Cerrillo (71'), Quignon (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ferreira (33')
Dorsey (35'), Carrasquilla (78'), Bartlow (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Dallas 2-2 Houston Dynamo

Given the two sides' similar starts, we predict a close encounter and see a draw as the most likely outcome. They have each shown their ability to find the net at points, and, as a result, we back the two teams to cause each other problems and share the spoils in Dallas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Houston Dynamo
59.83%	21.88%	18.29%

Both teams to score 52.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.62%

45.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.28%

67.72%

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23%

14.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57%

43%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.44%

38.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.7%

75.3%

Score Analysis

Dallas 59.82%

Houston Dynamo 18.29%

Draw 21.87%

Dallas	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.88% 2-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 6.33% 4-0 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-0 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.59% Total : 59.82%	1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.87%	0-1 @ 5.42% 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.26% Total : 18.29%