Major League Soccer

May 19, 2022 at 3am UK

Empire Field

Vancouver
2 - 1
Dallas

White (71'), Cavallini (90+2' pen.)
Baldisimo (40'), Brown (45'), Cavallini (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Arriola (45+3')
Pomykal (52'), Twumasi (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 Dallas

Despite a dynamic offensive outburst for the Caps last weekend, they are unlikely to see as much wide-open space against Dallas, who are a lot sharper when it comes to closing you down. Vancouver have taken baby steps in the right direction in recent weeks, but they still have not shown an ability to limit the time and space of their opponents in the middle of the field, which the Toros should be able to take advantage of. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Dallas
44.26% ( 0.02)	25.48% ( 0.01)	30.27% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.24% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.61% (

-0.03)

49.4% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56% (

-0.02)

71.44% (

0.03)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72% (

-0)

22.28% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27% (

-0.01)

55.73% (

0.01)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.79% (

-0.03)

30.21% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.63% (

-0.03)

66.37% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 44.25%

Dallas 30.27%

Draw 25.47%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Dallas
1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.25%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.27%