Dallas have never lost a home game against Austin, and with their opponents low on confidence following three consecutive defeats, we think that they will maintain that unbeaten record by claiming a narrow victory on Saturday.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dallas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dallas.