Major League Soccer

Jul 13, 2023 at 3.30am UK

BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
2 - 1
Austin

Vite (1'), Cordova (72')
Sartini (53'), Cubas (87'), Blackmon (90+10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Redes (47')
Redes (52'), Lundqvist (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 2-3 Seattle
Sunday, July 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-4 Austin
Sunday, July 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Austin FC

The Whitecaps have been a resilient group throughout the campaign, and we believe they will be able to transition efficiently versus Austin, who are missing their solid defensive midfielder Pereira, which could spell trouble for the Verde and Black.

How to watch

You can watch Vancouver Whitecaps vs. Austin FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vancouver Whitecaps.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Austin FC
60.9% ( 0.02)	21.26% ( -0.01)	17.83% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.57% (

0.01)

43.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.17% (

0.01)

65.83% (

-0.01)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.21% (

0.01)

13.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.89% (

0.02)

41.11% (

-0.02)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.07% (

-0.01)

37.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.3% (

-0.01)

74.7% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 60.89%

Austin FC 17.83%

Draw 21.26%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 10.36% 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 60.89%	1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 5.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.26%	0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 17.83%