Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.