Major League Soccer

May 28, 2023 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
3 - 1
Vancouver

Lowen (10'), Blackmon (45' og.), Perez (90+4')
Nerwinski (20'), Parker (23'), Stroud (60'), Blom (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

White (83')
Berhalter (49'), Gressel (90+3'), Gauld (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: St Louis City 4-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 2-0 Seattle
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: St Louis City 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

The Caps have fought hard in their road fixtures this season but have yet to find a way to kill a game off, which has proven costly. Should Klauss return to the lineup, it would be a tremendous boost for St Louis, but even if he does not, they look a more confident side at home, and we believe they will get the job done on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch St Louis City vs. Vancouver Whitecaps and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
31.15% ( -1.72)	23.5% ( -0.45)	45.35% ( 2.17)

Both teams to score 61.52% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.94% (

1.42)

40.06% (

-1.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.57% (

1.45)

62.43% (

-1.45)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

-0.35)

24.99% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36% (

-0.48)

59.64% (

0.48)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

1.48)

17.98% (

-1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.16% (

2.47)

48.84% (

-2.47)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 31.15%

Vancouver Whitecaps 45.35%

Draw 23.5%

St Louis City	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.15%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.75% Total : 45.35%