Major League Soccer

May 13, 2023 at 6pm UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
St Louis City

Czichos (40')
Gimenez (59'), Herbers (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (26'), Nelson (43'), Gioacchini (49')
Nelson (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Chicago Fire 2-0 St Louis City

The Fire have been much sharper and dynamic on home soil, while St Louis look like a different team when Klauss is out of the lineup, and we expect the expansion side to struggle when it comes to generating chances this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	St Louis City
64.76% ( -3.15)	19.7% ( 0.53)	15.54% ( 2.62)

Both teams to score 53.83% (

5.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.46% (

3.39)

40.54% (

-3.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07% (

3.39)

62.92% (

-3.39)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.21% (

0.13)

11.79% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.01% (

0.28)

36.99% (

-0.28)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.03% (

5.87)

38.97% (

-5.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.3% (

5.11)

75.7% (

-5.11)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 64.76%

St Louis City 15.54%

Draw 19.7%

Chicago Fire	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 10.5% ( -1.59) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -1.55) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( -1.09) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 4% ( -0.56) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.57) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.31) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.82% Total : 64.76%	1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.77) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.75) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.7%	1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.71) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.43) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.39) Other @ 1.97% Total : 15.54%