Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.