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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Seattle Sounders

Portland
4 - 1
Seattle

Asprilla (71'), Fogaca (76'), Niezgoda (81'), David Mosquera (89')
Chara (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruidiaz (58')
Paulo (44'), Roldan (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-0 Portland
Sunday, April 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 3-0 St Louis City
Sunday, April 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 0-2 Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders have made an excellent start to the season, particularly impressing in the 3-0 victory against St Louis City last time out, and we expect them to put their bad recent record against Portland Timbers behind them this weekend. Jordan Morris has been in fantastic form, with eight MLS goals up to this point, and the striker could be the difference-maker in attack, while the defence has been solid enough to indicate Seattle are likely to get a clean sheet.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSeattle Sounders
43.12% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 25.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 30.92% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.02% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)51.13% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)72.98% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)23.57% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)57.63% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30.63% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 43.11%
    Seattle Sounders 30.92%
    Draw 25.95%
Portland TimbersDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.92%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3am
Portland
2-1
Seattle
Asprilla (41' pen.), Blanco (51')
Blanco (11'), Williamson (45+2'), McGraw (78')
Gomez Andrade (8')
Lodeiro (20'), Leyva (23')
Jul 9, 2022 9.30pm
Seattle
0-3
Portland

Ragen (45+2'), Roldan (70'), Tolo (81')
Ragen (46')
Niezgoda (24'), Moreno (82' pen.), Paredes (85')
Williamson (6'), Chara (57'), Asprilla (85'), Chara (87')
Aug 30, 2021 3.30am
Seattle
0-2
Portland
Blanco (58'), Mora (90+5')
van Rankin (44'), Valeri (76')
Aug 16, 2021 3am
Portland
2-6
Seattle
Blanco (32'), Fochive (52')
Mabiala (54'), Zuparic (66'), Paredes (76')
Montero (13', 29'), Ruidiaz (55', 72'), Medranda (77'), Benezet (90+4')
Paulo (69')
May 9, 2021 8pm
Portland
1-2
Seattle
Tuiloma (90+4')
Loria (21')
Ruidiaz (63' pen.), Montero (79')
Tolo (17'), Delem (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew7430105515
2Inter MiamiInter Miami6420126614
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7412138513
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC7412127513
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati741299013
6Orlando City73221512311
7Chicago Fire73221412211
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls732297211
9Nashville SCNashville7313107310
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta72321112-19
11New York City FCNY City72231011-18
12DC United7133917-86
13New England RevolutionNew England611437-44
14Toronto7034713-63
15CF MontrealMontreal7025412-82

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7511125716
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7421117414
3Austin FCAustin741253213
4Portland TimbersPortland732298111
5Dallas73221010011
6Colorado RapidsColorado732289-111
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes73131510510
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles7304810-29
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake7304711-49
10St Louis City72234408
11Seattle SoundersSeattle7133811-36
12Houston DynamoHouston7124511-65
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas7115812-44
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy7025514-92
15San Diego FC00000000


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