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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Reliant Stadium
FC Dallas

Houston
1 - 1
Dallas

Bassi (45+6')
Kowalczyk (54'), Segal (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musa (69')
Norris (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Dallas

Dallas have been the more successful side of the two in the history of this fixture but have struggled to pick up victories when playing away from home, failing to win since August 2016. For that reason, we believe this one will end all square, leaving Dallas to retain El Capitan for a third successive year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
61.72% (0.137 0.14) 21.95% (-0.064 -0.06) 16.33% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.27% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.141 0.14)48.87% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (0.127 0.13)70.96% (-0.128 -0.13)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.68% (0.090999999999994 0.09)15.32% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.94% (0.171 0.17)44.05% (-0.173 -0.17)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)43% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)79.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 61.71%
    Dallas 16.33%
    Draw 21.94%
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
1-0 @ 12.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.25% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.4% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 61.71%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 16.33%

How you voted: Houston vs Dallas

Houston Dynamo
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Dallas
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 1.30am
Dallas
2-0
Houston
Musa (55'), Ibeagha (80')
Estevez (6'), Musa (16'), Illarramendi (42'), Kamungo (73')

Micael (62'), Gaines (87')
Dorsey (5')
Oct 1, 2023 1.30am
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Jul 10, 2022 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Dallas
Steres (41'), Lundqvist (47'), Zeca (86')
Hedges (17'), Quignon (22'), Ferreira (85'), Farfan (88'), Servania (90+8')
Servania (90+13')
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Dallas
2-1
Houston
Ntsabeleng (87'), Quignon (90+3')
Farfan (2'), Cerrillo (71'), Quignon (90+5')
Ferreira (33')
Dorsey (35'), Carrasquilla (78'), Bartlow (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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