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Sporting Kansas
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
Houston Dynamo

Kansas
1 - 2
Houston

Salloi (61')
Rodriguez (45'), Fontas (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Herrera (31'), Ibrahim (78')
Kowalczyk (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo have struggled in front of goal recently, but we can see them getting on the scoresheet in this one. That said, we are also backing the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Kansas CityDrawHouston Dynamo
46.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 29.1% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)46.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)68.86% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)20.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)52.57% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)29.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)65.63% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Kansas City 46.2%
    Houston Dynamo 29.11%
    Draw 24.69%
Sporting Kansas CityDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
Houston
1-1
Kansas
Segal (69')
Olsen (58')
Thommy (61')
Russell (57'), Thommy (67')
Nov 27, 2023 12am
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
2-1
Houston
Russell (7' pen.), Agade (45+6')
Radoja (34'), Vermes (35'), Thommy (73'), Rosero (88'), Salloi (90+6')
Russell (39')
Hadebe (45+9')
B (0'), Escobar (45+1'), Dorsey (74'), Caicedo (83')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Kansas
Ibrahim (45+2'), Franco (90+8')
Ulfarsson (49'), Herrera (50'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pulido (25', 62')
Rosero (65'), Leibold (90+11')
Sep 11, 2022 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000


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