Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Sporting Kansas City
Houston's recent blip in form is sure to provide Sporting Kansas City with a boost heading into Sunday's clash as they seek revenge against the Orange Crush following their slender defeat at the Shell Energy Stadium two months ago.
However, we believe that the hosts will return to winning ways in front of their home supporters and consolidate their place inside the top seven.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.77% . A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.66%) . The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (7.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood .
Result Houston Dynamo Draw Sporting Kansas City 47.77% ( -0.12) 25.58% ( 0.05) 26.65% ( 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.54% ( -0.1)
48.19% ( -0.16) 51.81% ( 0.16)
26.43% ( -0.14) 73.57% ( 0.14)
78.31% ( -0.11) 21.69% ( 0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.16% ( -0.17) 54.84% ( 0.18)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
65.81% ( -0.03) 34.19% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.12% ( -0.03) 70.88% ( 0.03)
Houston Dynamo 47.77%
Sporting Kansas City 26.65%
Draw 25.57%
Houston Dynamo Draw Sporting Kansas City 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.77% 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.57% 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.65%
How you voted: Houston vs Kansas
Houston Dynamo
Draw
Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
13.3%
15
rhs 2.0
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