Neither the hosts nor the visitors will escape the effects of midweek fatigue this week, but Houston's penchant for clean sheets at home coupled with Los Angeles' recent shortcomings in front of goal means that the Black and Gold's struggles could continue at the Shell Energy Stadium.
Injuries are hardly helping the champions' cause either, but Guzan was the sole reason for their failure to score against Atlanta, and rectifying such errors in front of goal could see them walk away with a hard-earned point.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0) 
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