US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals

Jun 7, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Soldier Field

Chicago Fire
1 - 4
Houston

Souquet (40')
Pineda (21'), Navarro (62'), Gimenez (63'), Burks (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Bassi (12' pen.), Ibrahim (31', 59'), Quinones (74')
Gasper (89')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's US Open Cup clash between Chicago Fire and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Houston
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Chicago Fire 2-0 Houston Dynamo

Houston have looked incredibly shaky in recent matches, and while things can change quickly, the Fire appear very determined in this competition and we believe their attacking pieces and the home crowd will be too much for the visitors to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Houston Dynamo
50.43% ( 0.01)	25.31% ( -0)	24.26% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.14% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.44% (

-0.01)

52.55% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.78% (

-0.01)

74.21% (

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

20.85% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45% (

53.54% (

-0)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36% (

-0.01)

36.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.57% (

-0.01)

73.42% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 50.42%

Houston Dynamo 24.26%

Draw 25.31%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.97% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.51% Total : 50.42%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.67% 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 24.26%