St Louis City3 - 0Houston
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, June 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: St Louis City 3-1 Houston Dynamo
St Louis City have found some convincing form at CityPark in recent weeks and will be confident of continuing their winning run on home soil against a Houston side who come into this game wounded. Dynamo face another tough away match as they look to respond after their battering in Canada on Wednesday - we cannot envisage Olsen's men earning anything from their trip to Missouri this weekend.How to watch
You can watch St Louis City vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
39.57% ( -0.55) | 24.78% ( -0.11) | 35.65% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 58.45% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.28% ( 0.63) | 44.72% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.92% ( 0.61) | 67.08% ( -0.6) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0) | 22.51% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.93% ( 0) | 56.08% ( -0) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( 0.67) | 24.57% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.94% ( 0.94) | 59.06% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.65% |
