That late goal on Wednesday should give LA hope heading into this leg after struggling to find a lot of openings against a well-organised Leon side. Expect the game plan to be similar for the Mexicans, but we believe the LAFC attack will find a way through this weekend, having faced adversity in big games before, while McCarthy has been an X-factor in penalty shootouts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 21.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Club Leon win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Club Leon
55.69% ( -1.12)	22.52% ( 0.41)	21.78% ( 0.71)

Both teams to score 55.95% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.6% (

-0.93)

43.4% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.2% (

-0.92)

65.79% (

0.92)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55% (

-0.69)

15.44% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.71% (

-1.3)

44.28% (

1.3)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17% (

0.15)

33.82% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

0.16)

70.49% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 55.69%

Club Leon 21.78%

Draw 22.52%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Club Leon
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.69%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.52%	1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.78%