Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match.