Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4

May 1, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

BBVA Stadium

Houston
1 - 1
Los Angeles

Pasher (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Baird (55')
Murillo (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles FC
37.52%	23.69%	38.8%

Both teams to score 62.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.69%

39.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.35%

61.64%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.86%

21.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46%

53.99%

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47%

20.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97%

53.02%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 37.52%

Los Angeles FC 38.8%

Draw 23.68%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.52%	1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.57% 0-0 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 8.45% 0-1 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.95% Total : 38.8%