We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Sporting Kansas City
LA Galaxy appear to have rediscovered some form in recent weeks, although the long-term injury of Hernandez will undoubtedly make them blunter between now and the end of the season.
With both teams sitting outside of the playoff spots, this should be a fiercely contested encounter, but we expect the hosts to marginally get themselves over the line.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.