Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.