Major League Soccer

May 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
4 - 1
Portland

Thommy (33'), Salloi (66'), Mabiala (68' og.), Hernandez (90+3')
Fontas (47'), Radoja (72'), Shelton (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Boli (8')
Loria (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 4-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 21 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Portland Timbers

Despite their previous defeat, SKC have improved in almost every department this month, while the Timbers have consistently shot themselves in the foot on the road, so we expect the home team to bounce back on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch Sporting Kansas City vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Portland Timbers
61.75% ( 0.03)	21.08% ( -0.01)	17.16% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.22% (

0.01)

43.78% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.83% (

66.17% (

-0)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.35% (

0.01)

13.64% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.18% (

0.02)

40.82% (

-0.02)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.07% (

-0.02)

38.92% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.35% (

-0.02)

75.65% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 61.74%

Portland Timbers 17.16%

Draw 21.09%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.57% 2-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 61.74%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.09%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.16%