Major League Soccer

Aug 7, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Livestrong Sporting Park

Kansas
4 - 2
LA Galaxy

Thommy (10'), Agade (40', 45+5'), Salloi (90+5')
Espinoza (56')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Hernandez (83', 90+2' pen.)
Williams (24'), Gasper (26'), Hernandez (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

Last Six:

Last Game: Kansas 0-2 Austin
Sunday, July 31 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Toronto	23	-9	23
9	DC United	22	-20	21
10	Sporting Kansas City	24	-19	20

Los Angeles Galaxy

Last Six:

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Guadalajara
Thursday, August 4 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Seattle Sounders	23	3	32
5	Los Angeles Galaxy	22	1	30
6	Colorado Rapids	22	0	27

We said: Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

We can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides struggling for form in recent weeks. The visitors undoubtedly have more individual quality, but home advantage and a determination to end their losing run should help Kansas avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
37.68% ( 0.1)	25.66% ( -0.01)	36.66% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.43% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.35% (

0.04)

48.65% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.23% (

0.04)

70.76% (

-0.04)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73% (

0.07)

25.26% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.98% (

0.1)

60.02% (

-0.1)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16% (

-0.02)

25.83% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2% (

-0.04)

60.8% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 37.68%

Los Angeles Galaxy 36.66%

Draw 25.65%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.68%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.66%