Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Livestrong Sporting Park
We said: Sporting Kansas City 1-3 Austin FC
Although Austin have failed to record a victory in their two previous away meetings with Sporting Kansas City, we think that they will draw inspiration from a run of form that seen them win four of their previous five away games to sweep aside their hosts on Saturday.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.36% . A win for Austin FC had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.13%) . The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result Sporting Kansas City Draw Austin FC 46.36% ( 0.02) 25.42% ( -0.01) 28.23% ( -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.21% ( 0.03)
49.83% ( 0.04) 50.17% ( -0.04)
27.87% ( 0.04) 72.13% ( -0.04)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
78.36% ( 0.02) 21.64% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.23% ( 0.04) 54.77% ( -0.04)
67.91% ( 0.01) 32.09% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.44% ( 0.02) 68.57% ( -0.02)
Sporting Kansas City 46.36%
Austin FC 28.23%
Draw 25.41%
Sporting Kansas City Draw Austin FC 1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.36% 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.41% 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.23%
How you voted: Kansas vs Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Draw
Austin FC
15
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 11:56:30
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