

Austin3 - 1Kansas
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
43.57% | 23.48% | 32.94% |
Both teams to score 62.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.78% | 39.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.45% | 61.55% |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.63% | 18.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.51% | 49.49% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.48% | 23.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.44% | 57.56% |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.64% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 4.32% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-1 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.94% |