US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals

Jun 8, 2023 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
3 - 2
LA Galaxy

Kreilach (19', 45+6' pen.), Savarino (51')
Glad (32'), Kreilach (56'), Eneli (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Brugman (82' pen.), Costa (84')
Neal (59')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's US Open Cup clash between Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 1-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, June 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

Neither side have been all that convincing in the league this year, but the Galaxy have had a much tougher road to get here than RSL, and we expect their experience from 2022 will be an asset come Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
45.87% ( 0.23)	24.16% ( 0.07)	29.97% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 58.51% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.26% (

-0.47)

43.73% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.88% (

-0.46)

66.12% (

0.45)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.77% (

-0.09)

19.23% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.06% (

-0.15)

50.93% (

0.15)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

-0.44)

27.56% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

-0.57)

63.08% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 45.87%

Los Angeles Galaxy 29.97%

Draw 24.16%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 45.87%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.97%