While the reigning champions have been poor in recent weeks, their excellent home record this season cannot be overlooked. Fatigue will likely have an impact on both sides in this fixture, but the hosts will want to come flying out of the blocks, and an early goal will be exactly what they need to calm the nerves around the camp.
The visitors' form on the road has been one of the worst in MLS this term, and despite having the psychological edge over their opponent following the result on Sunday, they are likely to find it much more difficult this time around.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
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