Despite their lofty league positions, neither team have been particularly convincing of late, especially the Sounders who have completely lost their way. Nevertheless, we feel that the home side will do enough to earn a share of the spoils and retain hold of the bronze-medal position.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.