Major League Soccer

May 28, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Stubhub Center

Seattle
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Morris (22')
Paulo (45'), Baker (55'), Ragen (83')
Paulo (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barlow (9'), Yearwood (27'), Ndam (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 2-0 Seattle
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Seattle Sounders 2-2 New York Red Bulls

Barring Thursday's cup exit, New York Red Bulls have enjoyed a superb start to life under 39-year-old manager Lesesne and will be looking to quickly bounce back. However, they will most likely struggle to claim all three points given their struggles on the road and the Sounders' home record in this fixture.

How to watch

You can watch Seattle Sounders vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.

Result
Seattle Sounders	Draw	New York Red Bulls
51.61% ( 0.09)	25.81% ( -0.03)	22.59% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 46.95% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.15% (

0.05)

55.85% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.03% (

0.04)

76.96% (

-0.04)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3% (

0.06)

21.7% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.15% (

0.08)

54.85% (

-0.09)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.95% (

-0.03)

40.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.3% (

-0.03)

76.69% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Seattle Sounders 51.6%

New York Red Bulls 22.59%

Draw 25.81%

Seattle Sounders	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 13.27% 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.6%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.34% Total : 22.59%