Major League Soccer

May 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Manoel (45'), Stroud (75'), Barlow (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-0 NY City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Toronto 0-0 New York Red Bulls

Both teams could be missing some significant pieces to their squad this weekend, and although the Red Bulls have momentum on their side, they have not shown much quality in the attacking third, though they have done well to limit their opponents' opportunities.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	New York Red Bulls
37.98% ( -1.11)	26.69% ( 0.41)	35.33% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 51.85% (

-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.84% (

-1.61)

53.16% (

1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.27% (

-1.39)

74.73% (

1.38)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8% (

-1.37)

27.2% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38% (

-1.82)

62.62% (

1.81)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

-0.36)

28.77% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

-0.44)

64.61% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Toronto 37.97%

New York Red Bulls 35.33%

Draw 26.69%

Toronto	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.97%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.33%