Major League Soccer

Apr 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 2
Atlanta

Laryea (43'), Servania (90+4')
Bernardeschi (63'), Osorio (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Giakoumakis (4'), Chol (76')
Chol (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Toronto 0-1 Atlanta United

Since winning the World Cup with Argentina last December, Almada has been a force to the reckoned with in MLS, and we expect he will give the Toronto backline fits with his ability to find space and pick out their attacking players. As solid as the Reds have been defensively, they do not have a difference-maker like Almada in the middle of the field, and their finished product is still missing.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Atlanta United
44.88% ( -0.02)	24.04% ( -0)	31.08% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 59.56% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38% (

0.01)

42.62% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.97% (

0.01)

65.02% (

-0.01)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

-0)

19.19% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.12% (

-0.01)

50.88% (

0.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.71% (

0.02)

26.28% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.59% (

0.02)

61.4% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Toronto 44.88%

Atlanta United 31.08%

Draw 24.03%

Toronto	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.25% Total : 44.88%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.08%