Major League Soccer

Apr 23, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Talen Energy Stadium

Philadelphia
4 - 2
Toronto

MacNaughton (16' og.), Uhre (20', 43', 56')
Elliott (36'), Carranza (63')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Insigne (66'), Laryea (90+2')
Insigne (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Toronto

With a massive CCL semi-final just around the corner, the Union might have one eye on this game and another on their opening match with LAFC. That being said, both teams have quality all over the field, but the Reds have struggled to close out fixtures this year, while it has been the opposite story for Philly.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Toronto
69.61% ( 0)	17.92% ( -0)	12.47% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.75% (

39.24% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.42% (

61.57% (

-0)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.83% (

10.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.59% (

33.4% (

-0)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.45% (

42.55% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.09% (

78.91%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 69.61%

Toronto 12.47%

Draw 17.92%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Toronto
2-0 @ 11.3% 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.92% 4-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.15% 5-0 @ 2.25% 5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 4.54% Total : 69.61%	1-1 @ 8.45% 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 1.01% Total : 17.92%	0-1 @ 3.7% 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.47%