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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Philadelphia Union

Toronto
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Jimenez (39'), Pozuelo (51')
Nelson (19'), Pozuelo (30'), Bradley (45+1'), Chung (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carranza (34')
Carranza (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 3-2 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 29 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: NY Red Bulls vs. Toronto
Sunday, June 19 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Next Game: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 0-1 Philadelphia Union

 TFC are young and fast with plenty of potential, but all of those qualities can also be said about the Union, who are sounder defensively and do not make the mental errors that we are seeing from time to time in Toronto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawPhiladelphia Union
39.16%25.86%34.98%
Both teams to score 54.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32%49.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3%71.69%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06%24.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43%59.57%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7%27.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26%62.74%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 39.16%
    Philadelphia Union 34.98%
    Draw 25.85%
TorontoDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.84%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 34.98%

How you voted: Toronto vs Philadelphia

Toronto
15.0%
Draw
15.0%
Philadelphia Union
70.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
Philadelphia
Altidore (66'), Elliott (70' og.)
Mavinga (57')
Bedoya (1'), Santos (77')
Andres Martinez (87')
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
Toronto
Glesnes (12'), Gazdag (33' pen.), Santos (36')
Glesnes (26'), Wagner (47'), Mbaizo (90')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
5-0
Toronto
Santos (27', 63', 68'), McKenzie (33'), Monteiro (55')
Monteiro (9'), Blake (64')

Auro (10'), Mullins (73')
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Philadelphia
Akinola (58'), Pozuelo (76')
Santos (5')
Andres Martinez (83')
Aug 15, 2020 11pm
Toronto
P-P
Philadelphia
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
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