Major League Soccer

Mar 19, 2022 at 7pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 1
DC United

Pozuelo (24'), Osorio (53')
Pozuelo (47'), Osorio (55'), O'Neill (77'), MacNaughton (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Canouse (10')
Flores (49'), Najar (72'), Yow (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Toronto 1-2 DC United

The Black-and-Red have had their way with Toronto in recent memory and given that right now TFC are hurting defensively with so many players who might not be 100% fit, Bob Bradley might have to wait a little longer for his first win with his new team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for DC United had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	DC United
45.29%	25.78%	28.93%

Both teams to score 52.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71%

51.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88%

73.12%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.4%

22.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.79%

56.21%

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86%

32.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.37%

68.63%

Score Analysis

Toronto 45.29%

DC United 28.93%

Draw 25.78%

Toronto	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 9.12% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.29%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.25% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.93%