Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 44

Nov 7, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 3
DC United

Laryea (18')
Dwyer (74')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Birnbaum (13'), Kamara (30' pen., 36')
Felipe (65'), Pines (76'), Mora (85'), Birnbaum (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for DC United had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	DC United
57.21%	21.83%	20.95%

Both teams to score 57.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.68%

41.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.29%

63.71%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.76%

14.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.01%

41.99%

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.57%

33.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.94%

70.05%

Score Analysis

Toronto 57.21%

DC United 20.95%

Draw 21.82%

Toronto	Draw	DC United
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 6.44% 3-0 @ 5.88% 3-2 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 3.14% 4-0 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.09% Total : 57.21%	1-1 @ 10.16% 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.82%	1-2 @ 5.57% 0-1 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.25% Total : 20.95%