Major League Soccer

Apr 2, 2022 at 9pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 1
NY City

Jimenez (31'), Martins (43' og.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Heber (90+2')
Martins (59'), Callens (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Toronto 1-2 New York City FC

There is definite growth happening with the youngsters in Toronto, but taking on a side as seasoned as New York, who should be well rested, might be too much for them to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	New York City FC
26.48%	23.76%	49.76%

Both teams to score 57.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.77%

44.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.39%

66.61%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69%

30.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51%

66.48%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13%

17.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.36%

48.64%

Score Analysis

Toronto 26.48%

New York City FC 49.76%

Draw 23.76%

Toronto	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 6.65% 1-0 @ 6.47% 2-0 @ 3.86% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.48%	1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76%	1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 9.33% 0-2 @ 8.03% 1-3 @ 5.5% 0-3 @ 4.61% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.76%