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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
May 14, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Toronto FC

Montreal
2 - 0
Toronto

Lappalainen (53'), Offor (68')
Campbell (6'), Orri Thorkelsson (24'), Herrera (40'), Lassiter (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marshall-Rutty (26')
Marshall-Rutty (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Orlando City
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 New England
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-1 Toronto

 Montreal are figuring out how to win matches in various ways, while some of their regulars return to full fitness, and they have been much more consistent than the Reds over the past few weeks in every aspect, so we believe they will emerge victorious on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch CF Montreal vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawToronto
57.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 22.44% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 20.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 54.01% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)44.92% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73%67.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)15.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.72% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)44.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)36.13% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 57.27%
    Toronto 20.3%
    Draw 22.44%
CF MontrealDrawToronto
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.14%
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 5.58%
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.44%
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: Montreal vs Toronto

CF Montreal
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Toronto
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
3-4
Montreal
Bernardeschi (5' pen.), Insigne (7', 90+3')
Criscito (23')
Miller (19'), Mihailovic (21'), Kamara (43'), Johnston (54')
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
1-0
Toronto
MacNaughton (69' og.)
Miller (57'), Brault-Guillard (87')
Miller (81')

Bradley (46')
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 41
Toronto
1-1
Montreal
Altidore (90+5')
Mullins (6'), Okello (53'), Osorio (58'), Shaffelburg (64')
Sunusi (55')
Piette (58')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 29
Montreal
3-1
Toronto
Piette (23'), Torres (68'), Quioto (75')
Struna (9'), Piette (34'), Camacho (47')
Achara (58')
Lawrence (60'), Gonzalez (74')
Okello (5')
Apr 17, 2021 7pm
gameweek 1
Montreal
4-2
Toronto
Toye (3'), Quioto (24'), Wanyama (55'), Mihailovic (71')
Wanyama (67')
Delgado (45' pen.), Laryea (88')
Bradley (19'), Priso-Mbongue (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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