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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Montreal Impact

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Montreal

Reyes (23'), Burke (38')
Casseres Jr (45')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Waterman (29')
Camacho (16'), Duke (32'), Herrera (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-0 CF Montreal

The Red Bulls appear to be back to their old selves defensively, and although they still have work to do in the attacking third, we expect them to get a big boost from the return of numerous players who were missing earlier this week. It has been a Jekyll and Hyde season for Le CFM, and they could find it difficult to penetrate a Red Bulls team who look reinvigorated defensively since changing coaches.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
52.32% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 45.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)56.81% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.79% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11%77.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 52.31%
    CF Montreal 21.8%
    Draw 25.87%
New York Red BullsDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 13.73%
2-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.2%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 21.8%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
2-0
NY Red Bulls
Reyes (25' og.), Choiniere (90+2')
Corbo (27'), Iliadis (53'), Choiniere (59')
Iliadis (65')

Edelman (2'), Duncan (62'), Reyes (71')
Sep 1, 2022 12.30am
Apr 9, 2022 9pm
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Montreal
Fernandez (14')
Long (63'), Edwards (68'), Casseres Jr (87')
Camacho (71'), Quioto (81')
Wanyama (8'), Kone (45'), Waterman (62'), Mihailovic (83')
Oct 30, 2021 9pm
gameweek 43
NY Red Bulls
1-0
Montreal
Gomes (90+1')
Reyes (81')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
gameweek 25
Montreal
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Sunusi (71'), Wanyama (90+8' pen.)
Brault-Guillard (90+12')
Klimala (45+5' pen.)
Tarek (53'), Gomes (83'), Yearwood (89'), Duncan (90+5'), Miguel Coronel (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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