Major League Soccer

May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Montreal

Reyes (23'), Burke (38')
Casseres Jr (45')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Waterman (29')
Camacho (16'), Duke (32'), Herrera (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: New York Red Bulls 2-0 CF Montreal

The Red Bulls appear to be back to their old selves defensively, and although they still have work to do in the attacking third, we expect them to get a big boost from the return of numerous players who were missing earlier this week. It has been a Jekyll and Hyde season for Le CFM, and they could find it difficult to penetrate a Red Bulls team who look reinvigorated defensively since changing coaches.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	CF Montreal
52.32% ( 0)	25.88% ( -0)	21.8% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.85% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.19% (

56.81% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.26% (

77.74% (

-0)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.21% (

21.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.01% (

54.99% (

-0)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.62% (

-0)

41.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.11%

77.89% (

-0)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 52.31%

CF Montreal 21.8%

Draw 25.87%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 13.73% 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.31%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 9.02% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.18% Total : 21.8%